2008年08月02日
小倉1R2歳未勝利戦攻略馬券【perro】
またまた、土曜日の1Rは3場とも2歳未勝利戦になりました。
このブログをやるまでは朝一にこんなに2歳未勝利戦が組まれてるとはまったく知りませんでした。
とりあえず、このブログの命運は2歳未勝利戦をいかに攻略するかが鍵になってます。
いままでは2歳未勝利戦の予想は手かがかりが見つけづらく、結局人気どおりの予想になってしまうことが多くて、かなりめげ気味だったのですが、そんなことじゃいかんと無理にでも積極的に狙っていこうと思ってます。ええ、無理してます。
そんなこんなで、targetで調べてみたり、いままでのレースからの印象で2歳未勝利戦の攻略法を練ってみたところ
1.牝馬よりも牡馬
2.馬体重450kg以上
3.詰めて使える(中1から2週)
という条件を満たす馬の成績が人気以上に良さそうです。
1番から3番目までの条件はいかに伸びしろが期待できるかということですね。
この条件を満たす馬は思いのほか成長している場合があるということだと思います。
しばらくは、この条件を元にして狙い馬を探していきます。
あと、2歳未勝利戦の傾向としては、なにしろ堅い決着が多いということ。
ほんとに力の差がはっきりしてることが多いですからね。
また、それと矛盾するようですが騎手による過剰人気になりやすい(ような気がします)。
その他にも調教や血統、厩舎などまだまだいろいろ切り口があるとは思いますが、それは今後の課題ということで。
土曜日の2歳未勝利戦条件クリア馬は
新潟1R
4番アイアムランボー
7番ケイアイシンドウ
函館1R
2番ゼットホーオー
小倉1R
6番テイエムテンガネ
9番マルシゲドトウ
14番カシノレオン
の6頭ですが、堅い決着が基本なんで同一レースに複数いる場合は人気上位になるであろう馬を選ぶことにして
新潟1R 4番アイアムランボー
函館1R 2番ゼットホーオー
小倉1R 9番マルシゲドトウ
の3頭。
それでは今日の勝負レース
小倉1R芝1200m九州産限定2歳未勝利戦です。
なんでこのレースにしたかといいますと初出走馬1頭除いて全馬同じ新馬戦の折り返しで力の比較がしやすい。
そして、その新馬の2着馬は10番ナンゴクシャンテは中村騎手騎乗です。
同じケイバライフ!内でブログをやってるからって買ったりしないよ、俺はそういう応援馬券とかは嫌いなの、などと勝負師を気取って思ってましたが、馬柱に中村騎手の文字を見つけたとき勝負レースが決まりました。
もちろん中村騎手には勝ってほしいですが、怪我しないでね、体が一番大事だから。 って、俺はお父さんか!でもほんと。
というわけで狙い馬は条件をクリアした9番マルシゲドトウ、相手に10番ナンゴクシャンテ。
買い目は
ヒモも絞れるここは3連単のみで。
9番10番2頭軸の相手に前走上位馬の2番3番7番、前走逃げた8番、初出走の4番の5頭のマルチ30点を各100ペソで。
1着(10)-2着(9)-3着(2,3,4,7,8)
1着(10)-2着(2,3,4,7,8)-3着(9)
の10点を追加で各200ペソ。
合わせて5000ペソで。
投稿: perro 日時: 2008年08月02日 01:23
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日時: 2012年03月22日 22:08
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日時: 2012年03月23日 22:06
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日時: 2012年03月23日 22:31
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日時: 2012年04月04日 09:42
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日時: 2012年04月08日 13:12
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日時: 2012年04月08日 15:53
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日時: 2012年04月10日 17:03
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日時: 2012年04月11日 04:44
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日時: 2012年04月12日 19:16
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日時: 2012年04月13日 00:25
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日時: 2012年04月13日 19:03
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日時: 2012年04月14日 21:03
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日時: 2012年04月15日 19:02
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日時: 2012年04月17日 02:20
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日時: 2012年04月17日 14:10
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日時: 2012年04月18日 09:32
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日時: 2012年04月18日 17:37
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日時: 2012年04月18日 22:00
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日時: 2012年04月20日 15:40
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日時: 2012年04月22日 03:48
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日時: 2012年04月23日 11:13
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日時: 2012年04月27日 13:35
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日時: 2012年04月28日 11:38
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日時: 2012年04月29日 05:25
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日時: 2012年05月02日 08:54
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日時: 2012年05月03日 04:51
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日時: 2012年05月04日 08:53
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日時: 2012年05月05日 02:11
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日時: 2012年05月05日 10:28
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日時: 2012年05月06日 05:48
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日時: 2012年05月07日 06:05
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日時: 2012年05月07日 22:38
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日時: 2012年05月08日 10:09
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日時: 2012年05月08日 15:07
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日時: 2012年05月09日 11:09
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日時: 2012年05月15日 06:23
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日時: 2012年05月17日 23:17
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日時: 2012年05月19日 01:15
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日時: 2012年05月20日 04:18
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日時: 2012年05月20日 21:08